METHODOLOGY V1 · SCORING EVERY CALL

How Watstock proves the call.

Watstock scores US equities five trading sessions out and publishes the result as information. We are a media desk — not an adviser and not a broker-dealer.

methodology_v1 · forward only

TAPE
Massive
SENTIMENT
FinBERT + FinLex
GEO
World Monitor CII
OPTIONS
Shadow · Massive / CBOE
EVENTS
TMX Global via Massive
EXECUTION
None — information only

01How we score ourselves

Five sessions. One public outcome.

Every published call is written before the fact and resolved against market prices after the fact. The call, the model version and the timestamp are fixed before the outcome is known.

No backfill · no silent edits · public resolution

02Why this stack

Every sleeve is named, versioned and replaceable.

The 2026 open-source ranking for finance is clear. Evidence converges; no single sleeve owns the call.

FinBERT — live
86–97% on Financial PhraseBank, blended with FinLex.
World Monitor equity layer — live
CII across 31 states, chokepoints and prediction markets. A 10% sleeve.
FinGPT v3 — reserved
LoRA-tuned LLM, needs a GPU.
FinLex — always on
Loughran–McDonald with VADER valence; the fallback when FinBERT is cold.
TMX Global events — live
Earnings, dividends, splits. A print inside the window is flagged, never rescored.
Options shadow · options_v1
Stored beside the ticket; never writes methodology_v1.

Evidence converges; no single sleeve owns the call.

035-day path

A CNN + LSTM shape, kept without a GPU.

The production hybrid keeps the shape of the original research on roughly 100 technical and news features.

Weights
30% technical · 25% news · 14% sequence · 10% persistence · 11% direction tree · 10% geo, then ATR-scaled.
Geo tilts
Hormuz stress supports tankers and drags carriers; China–Taiwan stress drags the semi stack.

Input → thesis → call → five sessions → resolved

04Crypto book

crypto_v1 — a separate desk under the same rules of transparency.

Five calendar days, 24/7. It does not write methodology_v1.

BUY / SELL
Five-day USD return at or beyond ±3%.
Dollar pegs
USDT, USDC and DAI are always HOLD.
Concentration
Top-10 holders above 75% block a BUY.

Separate book · separate rules · same transparency

05Five Sessions (Studio)

A human rundown of the published top ten.

Live on Mondays at 09:00 GST from DIFC, public after the five sessions with a forensic post-mortem. The show reads the book — it does not write it.

Human explanation sits beside the public book.

06Signal-to-instrument map

Every World Monitor family is wired to the names it most plausibly leads.

A forecast that names its drivers is auditable.

Chokepoint stress
BNO and refiners; airlines inverse.
GPS / jamming
LMT, RTX, NOC, GLD.
Cyber IOC language
CRWD, PANW, FTNT.

Event → exposure → instrument → thesis tilt

07Buy, hold, sell

Three labels, versioned decision logic.

BUY — expected five-day return above +1.65% and sentiment not clearly negative. SELL — below −1.65% and sentiment not clearly positive. HOLD — everything else.

The label is concise; the evidence stays open.

08Scoreboard

Written before the fact, resolved after it.

The 1.0% dead band exists so HOLD is a real call, not a free win. Fewer than 10 resolved predictions shows “insufficient history”.

BUY is correct
When the return is at least +1.0%.
SELL is correct
When the return is at most −1.0%.
HOLD is correct
When the absolute return is under 1.0%.

Published call + fixed rule = public result

09What we claim — and refuse to claim

A real record, not predictive certainty.

Watstock claims exactly one thing: that its record is real. No accuracy marketing, no guaranteed returns.

Research and media — not financial advice.

10Free media

The book is free; the record is the product.

The ranking, the five-session scores, Studio and the public scoreboard are free. Sign in only for a watchlist or the paper simulator.

Open proof before depth.

11Paper book

Practice the decision without brokerage.

Each book starts with $100,000 of virtual cash. A mock fill uses the last session close.

Paper ticket ≠ brokerage ticket

12Honest limits

Every layer has failure modes.

Daily bars, not a streaming tape. The five-day path is a research ensemble, not a promise of alpha. Use the table as information — then do your own work.

Confidence is bounded. Invalidation is required.

RESEARCH NOTICE

WATSTOCK provides research and analytics, not personalized investment advice. Rankings reflect our published methodology and may change without notice.